MARC details
| 000 -LEADER |
|---|
| fixed length control field |
02303cam a2200337Ii 4500 |
| 001 - CONTROL NUMBER |
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| control field |
on1374295312 |
| 003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER |
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| control field |
OCoLC |
| 005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION |
|---|
| control field |
20231120135401.0 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION |
|---|
| fixed length control field |
230401r20232023nyua b 000 0 eng d |
| 040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE |
|---|
| Original cataloging agency |
YDX |
| Language of cataloging |
eng |
| Description conventions |
rda |
| Transcribing agency |
YDX |
| Modifying agency |
TOH |
| -- |
OCLCO |
| -- |
JQW |
| -- |
IHY |
| -- |
OQX |
| -- |
SFR |
| -- |
NFG |
| 020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER |
|---|
| International Standard Book Number |
1541604938 |
| Qualifying information |
(hardcover) |
| 020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER |
|---|
| International Standard Book Number |
9781541604933 |
| Qualifying information |
(hardcover) |
| 035 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBER |
|---|
| System control number |
(OCoLC)1374295312 |
| 092 ## - LOCALLY ASSIGNED DEWEY CALL NUMBER (OCLC) |
|---|
| Classification number |
303.49 |
| Item number |
Y32 |
| 049 ## - LOCAL HOLDINGS (OCLC) |
|---|
| Holding library |
NFGA |
| 100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME |
|---|
| Personal name |
Yates, Kit, |
| Relator term |
author. |
| 245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT |
|---|
| Title |
How to expect the unexpected : |
| Remainder of title |
the science of making predictions -- and the art of knowing when not to / |
| Statement of responsibility, etc |
Kit Yates. |
| 250 ## - EDITION STATEMENT |
|---|
| Edition statement |
First US edition. |
| 264 #1 - PRODUCTION, PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, MANUFACTURE STATEMENTS |
|---|
| Place of production, publication, distribution, manufacture |
New York : |
| Name of producer, publisher, distributor, manufacturer |
Basic Books, |
| Date of production, publication, distribution, manufacture |
2023. |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION |
|---|
| Extent |
434 pages : |
| Other physical details |
illustrations ; |
| Dimensions |
24 cm |
| 336 ## - CONTENT TYPE |
|---|
| Content Type Term |
text |
| Content Type Code |
txt |
| Source |
rdacontent |
| 337 ## - MEDIA TYPE |
|---|
| Media Type Term |
unmediated |
| Media Type Code |
n |
| Source |
rdamedia |
| 338 ## - CARRIER TYPE |
|---|
| Carrier Type Term |
volume |
| Carrier Type Code |
nc |
| Source |
rdacarrier |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE |
|---|
| General note |
"Originally published in 2023 by Quercus, an Hachette Book Group, Inc."--Title page verso. |
| 504 ## - BIBLIOGRAPHY, ETC. NOTE |
|---|
| Bibliography, etc |
Includes bibliographical references (pages 409-434). |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. |
|---|
| Summary, etc |
Are you more likely to become a professional footballer if your surname is Ball? How can you be one hundred per cent sure you will win a bet? Why did so many Pompeiians stay put while Mount Vesuvius was erupting? How do you prevent a nuclear war? Ever since the dawn of human civilization, we have been trying to make predictions about what's in store for us. We do this on a personal level, so that we can get on with our lives efficiently (should I hang my laundry out to dry, or will it rain?). But we also have to predict on a much larger scale, often for the good of our broader society (how can we spot economic downturns or prevent terrorist attacks?). For just as long, we have been getting it wrong. From religious oracles to weather forecasters, and from politicians to economists, we are subjected to poor predictions all the time. Our job is to separate the good from the bad. Unfortunately, the foibles of our own biology - the biases that ultimately make us human - can let us down when it comes to making rational inferences about the world around us. And that can have disastrous consequences. |
| 650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Forecasting. |
| 9 (RLIN) |
97550 |
| 650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Forecasting |
| General subdivision |
Psychological aspects. |
| 9 (RLIN) |
238620 |
| 650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM |
|---|
| Topical term or geographic name as entry element |
Probabilities. |
| 9 (RLIN) |
120353 |
| 994 ## - |
|---|
| -- |
C0 |
| -- |
NFG |
