000			02110cam a2200409Ii 4500
001			007682198
005			20180722220416.0
008			150126s2015 nyua b 001 0 eng d
019			_a887858558
020			_a0143125087 _q(pbk.)
020			_a9780143125082 _q(pbk.)
035			_a(OCoLC)902999990 _z(OCoLC)887858558
040			_aCDX _beng _erda _cCDX _dOCLCO _dAPL _dYDXCP _dBDX _dUAB _dOCLCQ _dOCLCF _dNFG
049			_aNFGA
092			_a519.542 _bS587
100	1		_aSilver, Nate, _d1978-, _eauthor. _9215688
245	1	4	_aThe signal and the noise : _bwhy so many predictions fail-- but some don't / _cNate Silver.
246	3	0	_aWhy so many predictions fail-- but some don't
264		1	_aNew York : _bPenguin Books, _c2015.
300			_axvii, 536 pages : _billustrations ; _c22 cm
336			_atext _btxt _2rdacontent
337			_aunmediated _bn _2rdamedia
338			_avolume _bnc _2rdacarrier
500			_a"Published with a new preface in Penguin Books 2015."
500			_aOriginally published: 2012.
504			_aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
505	0		_aA catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit? -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em-- -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you.
520			_aThe author has built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and has become a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, he examines the world of prediction.
650		0	_aBayesian statistical decision theory. _9215689
650		0	_aForecasting _xHistory. _9215690
650		0	_aForecasting _xMethodology. _9215691
650		0	_aForecasting. _997550
650		0	_aKnowledge, Theory of. _921336
942			_cBOOK _07
994			_aC0 _bNFG
998			_a007682198
999			_c186438 _d186438