000 03152cam a2200373 i 4500
001 ocn914195537
003 OCoLC
005 20180722225618.0
008 171023t20172017nyu b 001 0 eng
010 _a 2017385463
040 _aDLC
_beng
_erda
_cDLC
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_dBDX
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020 _a1610393058
020 _a9781610393058
_q(hbk.)
035 _a(OCoLC)914195537
042 _apcc
092 _a355.02
_bF853
049 _aNFGA
100 1 _aFreedman, Lawrence,
_eauthor.
_9238065
245 1 4 _aThe future of war :
_ba history /
_cLawrence Freedman.
250 _aFirst edition.
264 1 _aNew York :
_bPublic Affairs,
_c2017.
264 4 _c©2017
300 _axxi, 376 pages ;
_c24 cm
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _aunmediated
_bn
_2rdamedia
338 _avolume
_bnc
_2rdacarrier
504 _aIncludes bibliographical references (pages 289-361) and index.
505 0 _aDecisive battle -- Indecisive battle -- The house of strife -- Victory through cruelty -- Failures of peace -- Total war -- The balance of terror -- Stuck in the nuclear age -- A surprise peace -- A science of war -- Counting the dead -- Democracy and war -- New wars and failed states -- Ancient hatreds and mineral curses -- Intervention -- Counter-insurgency to counter-terrorism -- From counter-terrorism to counter-insurgency -- The role of barbarism -- Cure not prevention -- Hybrid wars -- Cyberwar -- Robots and drones -- Mega-cities and climate change -- Coming wars -- The future of the future of war.
520 _aQuestions about the future of war are a regular feature of political debate, strategic analysis, and popular fiction. Where should we look for new dangers? What cunning plans might an aggressor have in mind? What are the best forms of defense? How might peace be preserved or conflict resolved? From the French rout at Sedan in 1870 to the relentless contemporary insurgencies in Iraq and Afghanistan, Lawrence Freedman, a world-renowned military thinker, reveals how most claims from the military futurists are wrong. But they remain influential nonetheless. Freedman shows how those who have imagined future war have often had an idealized notion of it as confined, brief, and decisive, and have regularly taken insufficient account of the possibility of long wars--hence the stubborn persistence of the idea of a knockout blow, whether through a dashing land offensive, nuclear first strike, or cyberattack. He also notes the lack of attention paid to civil wars until the West began to intervene in them during the 1990s, and how the boundaries between peace and war, between the military, the civilian, and the criminal are becoming increasingly blurred. Freedman's account of a century and a half of warfare and the (often misconceived) thinking that precedes war is a challenge to hawks and doves alike, and puts current strategic thinking into a bracing historical perspective.
650 0 _aWar
_xForecasting.
_947463
650 0 _aWar
_xHistory
_y20th century.
_9294888
650 0 _aWar
_xHistory
_y21st century.
_9264603
994 _aC0
_bNFG
999 _c265381
_d265381